Who is making waves in the South China Sea?

Finally, a robust view of the true American geo-strategic objective in the region. American foreign policy and especially their military bases, is likened to their global franchise of fastfood outlets, the Americans have learnt the art of being the Global Sheriff or rather a US Marshall policing geopolitical regions seeing that they are tying into their AngloAmerican and Eurocentric geopolitical international rule of law since they won the Second World War along with their Five permanent members of the UNSC. However, now, two of the permanent five have become pacing rivals to the US Marshall and aa shootout at the Ok Corral seems very frequent since world war two. Nowadays, the worn out American Western genre is cliched and people can see the American modus operandi of getting regional squabbles a good time for the trusty US Marshall to ride into Town with his trusty Steed armed with his sizx shooter, but, now, its called the Carrier Strike Group and armed with JSF 35s and Sidewinder AAMs and Air to Ground Ordinances.

What has been learnt by most Nations is now, the old script has been figured out. Local bad guy does a stand over the local guy, the Big American with his forces waltz in to save the day. Except, now, the American builds military bases and doesnt leave at all. He turns each base like an American Embassy, no one allowed into an American base, not even the locals. Suddenly, we have American bases peppered all along the first island chain lines of containment, to keep China away from the High Seas and daring to expand too far from Asia. The lines of containment includes South Korean Bases, Japan and the Philippines, as well as Guam and Darwin Australia. In the centre of the Pacific is American Samoa and of course, Hawaii in the North Pacific. The Americans have become a constant reminder to the Asians of the Eurocentric Colonialism particularly with the recently formed AUKUS military alliance an Australian initiative to reach out to their Anglo American Apron strings for dear life for Anglo Saxon Neo Colonial Australia fearful of being swamped by Asians in a European Island isolated as an overgrown Singapore in the South Pacific alongside Anglo Saxon New Zealand.

The American modus operandi to contain China, and for that matter to divide Russia is to ensure that America's pacing rivals with Russia and China are adequately isolated by the Global community in a divide and conquer objective. More pervasive is the NATO objective to render the Russian Federation fate to be similar to that of the Great War division of the Ottoman Empire into the modern Middle East Nations we know of today, along with its over a century old problems, especially with the creation of the Palestinian State in 1917.

The fate of the Ottoman Empire after the Great war, would see the Picot Sykes Declaration an important remapping of the Ottoman Empire with new Nations and excluding Natons that should have been created, like Kurdistan and Khorasan Nations instead of some of the Middle Eastern Nations that are presently Middle Eastern States today, Of course, the Palestinian State was the purview of Arthur Balfour and the can of worms that was to unfold can be directly attributed to him alone. He did, after all create Palestine not for the local Arab tribes, but, for the Jews. Herein lies the rub today. As for the Russian Federation, it appears that the second part of the Glasnost and Perestroika dismantling of the second World of the Comintern, was to divide the Russian Federation into separate Repbublics, Krais and Oblasts, again not dissimilar to the Ottoman Empire after the Great War. It appears the unfinished mission objective of the German Nazis and now NATO is indeed to not only defeat Russia but to ensure its eventual collapse and disintegration into a smaller more manageagable State, to the pleasure of America, of course, and to the EU Nations wanting to knock down a Tall Poppy down from his high horse.

The casus belli and mea culpa would be Ukraine. Knowing full well that the Donbas was always populated by Russian Speakers the 1991 overstretched claims by Ukraine of their Soveriegn borders would ineluctably lead to the present tensions by those who had drew up the Ukrainian map from the outset. Sow the seeds of discontent until it matures to an outrage and mea culpa for NATO to interdict in the domestic affairs. Shoot down MH 17 and dishonour the Minsk Agreement of 2015 will help play out the confrontation and escalation of the conflict. NATO would eventually be drawn in after the Russian military were expected to be war weary and the Russian low morale exascerbated by the economic sanctions crippling the Russian economy to the point that the Russian people will turn against Russia likened to the Ukrainian Euromaiden revolution. Again not dissimilar to the collapse of the Soviet Union. This didnt work out according to the script. The CORDS CIA Program Play book was well known by National Security Analysts from all sides, including the Russian Analysts. The Russians dont play that way and yes, the Russians play Chess very well.

The Referendas and the ratification of the Donbass Oblasts into the Russian Federation was Grandmaster chess moves well ahead of the NATO chess players the Russians Statecraft had completely outplayed the EU and NATO and left them for dead as Punked Dumbasses. And so, the Americans, and the EU leaders, play on with deploying more weapons and munitions to Ukraine and the Ukrainian Russian chess game was well and truly over with the Ukrainian King well and truly dead. But, Ukraine continued to move their chess pieces and moving their Urkainian Forces as pawns to the Russian contact line, only to continue the denazification meatgrinder with First Person View Drones footages of Trench warfare deaths and destruction. Annhilated buildings, rail networks, bridges, power utilities, airports, hospitals, and other utility infrastructures, and yet the Ukrainians and NATO still continue to play out the end game when the game was already done since the Russian Duma passed their amalgamation legislation back in September 2023.

In the South China Sea, the Philippines scenario is a similar American playbook, with US Bases establishing a quasi permanent American presence within the South China Sea, apart from Darwin and Guam, the Philippines is yet another American military franchise along an island line of containment that will include the second Thomas Shoal to trigger a casus belli between AUKUS and QUAD against the local bully, China. Whereas, the Chinese are viewing the FONOPS issue as American post Colonial standover in the region, the Americans are viewing Chinese regional aggression as the bad boy attitude in Chinese regional Hegemonic dominance in their OWN Backyard. The Chinese will view American presence like the Japanese will view all European Colonial Powers since the fall of Singapore in 1942 Eurocentric and Anglo American Colonial bullying from a half millennia of European Colonialism of the Asia Pacific region. The Japanese had disseminated the regional decolonial mantra of Asia for Asians which was a key slogan that spread the decolonisation of the Asia Pacific like wildfire and more rigorously after World War Two. The Dutch were notable with their colonial repressive antics after World War Two in South East Asia that the legacy of their Colonial behavioural legacy left an indelible inspid legacy to the hearts and minds of the Asians. The Fall of Singapore was the inspiration for Asians to view the Americans along a similar vein.

The Second Thomas Shoal conflict is being viewed by Asian historians and especially by the Chinese as yet another Singapore mea culpa moment in the Asian decolonisation political history.

Tim Tufuga

Source:

1. CGTN, https://youtu.be/ohoxpAeW-4k?si=4VnJfMIZXjkmKtPD