Orban Declares Georgia’s Election Fair: The end of the next Euromaiden and the Domino expansion of NATO and American Hegemony.

Victor Orban, as the European Council Presidency, has visited Georgia to observe the Georgian General Elections. The allegations of irregularities of the election results would mirror the Ukrainian 2010 election results when the Pro Russian Party of Regions won the Ukrainian elections defeating the Pro EU  Batkivshchyna (Fatherland Party) led by Yulia Tymoshenko. This invariably has sown the seeds that would ignite into the 2014 Euromaiden Revolution. The Euromaiden would in turn result in the Donetsk Peoples Republic and the Lugansk Peoples Republic conducting their respective Referenda's to secede from Ukraine. The Referendum results would be rejected by the Verkhovna Rada or the Ukrainian Parliament prompting the Ukrainian military operations into the Donetsk and Lugansk Oblasts to quell the unrest and acts of seditious treason against the Ukrainian Government. The result would be the oppression and suppression of the DPR and LPR and the casus belli for the ongoing Ukrainian Civil War until the Russians intervened with the annexation of Crimea and the indirect participation with aiding and abetting with the DPR and LPR Forces until the Russian military direct participation with the February 24th, 2022, Special Military Operation to demilitarise and to denazify Ukraine whilst liberating the DPR and LPR from Ukraine once and for all. 

In the meantime, in Georgia, the transition to European Union membership has been viewed as a natural transition for the Georgians after their Georgian-Russo tensions culminating with the Russo-Georgian War in 2008. The seemingly hightened tensions between the Separatists South Ossetians and the Abkhazian Regions against the Georgian Majority has been considered not dissimilar to the Donetsk Peoples Republic, the Kharkov Peoples Republic, Crimea, Zaporizhy Oblast, and the Kherson Oblasts Pro Russian elements which has become the primary impetus for the Russo-Ukrainian War since 2022. 

The 1992 initial tensions between Russia and Georgia was ignited by the South Ossetians within Georgia wanting to secede from Georgia, which was traditionally and culturally linked, directly, with the North Ossetians, who were part of the Russian Federation.

(Smart Traveller)

 Again, the similarities with the Donbass Russians with the Russian Federation can be viewed in a similar vein. 

Moreover, it appears moot to view the incongruency with the modern geopolitical cultural Statecraft of modern Soveriegn National Boundaries from timeless cultural and proximity geopolitical historical boundaries which have often led to modern day political crisis and tensions. The Ossetians have a unified language and cultural which would normally be considered culturally and ethnically unique but are not unified under a soveriegn National State of their own. Hence the North Ossetians within the Russian Republic and the South Ossetians within Georgia. The crux of the current conflict in Georgia. Abzakhian self determination has a similar cultural cringe towards the Georgian majority as well. 

Comparative speaking, the Kurds in the Middle East, encompass a unique cultural ethnic group with some sixty million population displaced within three Middle Eastern Nations. The Greater Kurdistan geopolitical cultural sphere of influence encompases parts of modern Iraq, Syria and Turkey. The recent PKK terrorist attack by two Kurds illustrates the current tensions by the Kurds seeking their own Soveriegn Nation of their own. The Kurdish self determination which has been ignored and overlooked by the United Nations primarily due to the gaslighting by Syria, Turkey and Iraq, has drowned out the Kurdish cause as merely Terrorists seeking to disrupt the status quo. 

In much the same geostrategic significance as the Kurdish issue, the Ossetians have been the bane mea culpa for the Georgians since the declaration of Georgian Independence from the Soviet Union and Eduard Ambrosis dze Shevardnadze, the famous Perestroika architect, as the then Soviet Union Foreign Minister, under the Soviet Union's President  Gorbachev administration, in the mid 1980s, would become the first Georgian President in 1992. 

Fast forward to today, the consequence of the Russo-Georgian War of 2008 would sow the seeds for yet another anti Russian cabal within the Georgian cultural psyche that would lead to a hardwired mistrust of any anti European Union sentiments by any Government. The recent Georgian General election that resulted in a 54% vote support for the purportedly Pro Russian Georgian Dream Party, would invariably ignite suspicion by the opposition and this suspicion has been confirmed with the Georgian President, Salome Zourabichvili, her tenure as President is presumably independent of any major Georgian Party structure. The Georgian President has even gone so far as to encourage protests on the Georgian Streets to challenge the validity of the general election results. Not unlike the former United States President's claim of election fraud, the Georgian President has called out the electoral fraudulent results of the recent Georgian elections and has called for a quasi January 6th, 2021, march to the Georgian Government Buildings. Alas, no such protest had ensued. No Euromaiden revolution has transpired as hoped for by Secretary of State, Blinken and the Georgian President. There was a muted rally in front of the Georgian Government Buildings by placard carrying protestors a small gathering of less than a couple of hundred protestors. 

The muted protest has reflected the lack of interest in the quasi Ukrainian Euromaiden, which is also reflected by the current Russo-Ukrainian War and the disheartened Pro European movement with the resiliance of the Russian economy and military strength despite Western economic sanctions and Western condemnation of the Russian military operations within Ukraine since 2022.

As of October 31st, 2024. The election results has been considered legitimate and endorsed by the EU Council Presidency of the Hungarian Presidency under Victor Orban a seemingly social Pariah by fellow EU member Nations for his conciliatory middle of the road realpolitics and Statecraftmanship. 

As the Georgian Election results slowly settles the acceptance of the results may indeed end up in yet another Euromaiden Revolution as is being anticipated by the US Government and their Western Backers waiting on the wings for the right casus belli for an expanded warfront against Russia via South Ossetia and Georgia.

Tim Tufuga. 

 

Source: 

1. ABC, https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-10-28/georgia-elections-president-says-russian-special-operations/104524966 

2. 2010 Ukrainian Elections, wikipedia.com, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Ukrainian_presidential_election

3. Victor Yanukovych, Wikipedia.com, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Yanukovych 

4.  Times New World, Youtube.com, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VydadtuI2ys

5. Russo-Georgian War, wikipedia.com, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russo-Georgian_War#:~:text=In%201992%2C%20a%20joint%20peacekeeping,culminating%20in%20the%20Sukhumi%20Massacre. 

6. Ossetian Language, wikipedia.com, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ossetian_language 

7. President of Georgia, wikipedia.com,  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/President_of_Georgia#:~:text=The%20current%20president%20is%20Salome,elected%20directly%20by%20the%20citizens.

8. SmartTraveller.gov.au, https://www.smartraveller.gov.au/destinations/europe/georgia